sugarvalves [1963573] —
Original article
Have we named this report after 2020 just to get you to read it? Yes. Did it work? Maybe. But either way, this market report contains a sleigh-full of trading info you can't afford to miss!
The first Market Report of 2020 has been slightly delayed by the festive season and this reporter taking a well-needed break. However, just like those trips to the lavatory after an all-night cheese and paté session, you can expect this one to be extra long and satisfying, as we have the gargantuan influence of Christmas Town to consider.
First, I'd like to remind you all that the Market Report is an easy way for traders to get their name out there, and also earn that elusive Newspaper merit. If you're interested in writing the next Market Report (which will be much shorter than this one!) please contact me, Sugarvalves, at your earliest convenience.
Christmas Town opened fully on the 19th of December and remained so for slightly longer than usual, with its closure delayed until a couple of days into the New Year as compensation for its late arrival. As ever, this event had a major impact on the price of cans, candies, booze, boosters and more, so let's begin our first report of the decade with a look at Torn's cans market.
ENERGY DRINKS
Every type of energy drink was made available through Christmas Town, but not all of them as single items. Each of the three new low-energy cans could be found individually, as could Santa Shooters, Rockstar Rudolph and X-MASS. However, cans of Munster, Red Cow and Taurine Elite could only be found as part of Six Pack of Energy Drinks, along with the other three original can items.
Roughly 4,000 Six Packs of Energy Drinks were given out, and the relative lack of distribution for certain cans obviously had an effect on prices. The two big dawgs, Taurine and X-MASS, were valued around $3.6m on December 17th, and both lost roughly $200k over the next few days. But then a curious thing happened; their prices began to recover almost immediately.
Pictured: X-MASS price graph.
This is by no means a normal occurrence. In 2018, the top two cans also lost about $200k upon the opening of CT, but they took two months to gain half of that back and six months to recover fully! Taurine and X-MASS have restored half of their pre-Christmas value already, and while their gains have flatlined since their miraculous festive rebirth, such a swift bounceback is still rather odd.
One possible explanation for this is that the introduction of three new cans has limited Christmas Town's effects on the market as a whole, spreading the price drop over nine items instead of six. But trader Iribuya has his own theory:
"It was certainly unexpected on my part. My theory on why cans didn't drop much in value is that a lot of players saved up money to buy 'cheap cans' during CT. Too many players did this and bought cans without actually checking if they were cheaper. This caused the price to remain the same and even rise a bit on some cans. It's also possible some people are holding on to their cans to sell later in the year."
The trends for the second-tier cans, Red Cow and Rockstar Rudolph are markedly different. Red Cow started falling in anticipation of CT on the 15th of December, losing about $120k in value. However, Red Cow had regained much of this value by Christmas Eve and enjoyed a good end to the year before falling $60k between January 4th - 7th. Rockstar Rudolph also lost $120k at the same time but had recovered only $36k by January 7th - we attribute this to the single can / multipack discrepancy mentioned earlier.
Santa Shooters and Munster are Torn's third-tier cans, and both took disproportionally larger price hits than the other energy drinks, losing $160k each between the 15th and 26th of December. Santa Shooters have recovered roughly $26k of this so far, whereas Munster was only $1k above its Boxing Day price on January 8th, despite its circulation graph being impacted far less than Santa Shooters.
Pictured: Munster circulation graph (7,275 increase)
Pictured: Santa Shooters circulation graph (136,913 increase)
So why have these two third-tier cans both suffered identical price rises, despite Santa Shooters seeing their circulation increase by nearly 19 times that of Munster? It could have something to do with players using certain cans during Christmas Town, as Iribuya illustrates.
"There was a point where Goose Juice was on the same level as Damp valley, because of all the Pot players needing the cheapest cans to play with."
Players with more cash to spare may have plumped for third-tier cans over the three new micro-energy cans, and since Munster appears before Santa Shooters in the item market listings, players may have assumed it was cheaper, even if it wasn't. This would lead to demand for Munsters being inflated, thus explaining why it experienced a price rise comparable to Santa Shooters.
Finally, the three new low-energy cans all increased in circulation dramatically over Christmas, with Goose Juice adding 140k, Damp Valley 139k and Crocozade 137k. Goose Juice had enjoyed a stable December until CT came along, but after hovering around the $280-290k mark for a couple of weeks, the juice from the goose has lost $45k since then.
Damp Valley had a similar start to December, but while Goose Juice's descent was more gradual, Damp Valley plummetted dramatically, losing $100k in the space of a few days after CT opened. It has recovered around $25k of this at the time of writing.
Pictured: Damp Valley price graph.
Crocozade's descent was equally sharp, as having gained $72k during the first two weeks of December, it lost $187k over Christmas, and has only regained about $10k of this back - it appears to be recovering at a slower rate than GJ or DV.
CANDIES
As is the case with cans, only a limited selection of Torn's candies are given out during Christmas Town, but this still had a knock-on effect on the price of all candies across the board. Your high-end candies dropped the most value, with Pixie Sticks and Jawbreakers falling by $56k and $85k respectively. These two items provide exactly the same amount of happiness, but Jawbreakers began CT on a much higher price and lower circulation level than Pixie Sticks, hence their sharper fall.
Pictured: Jawbreakers price graph.
Pictured: Pixie Sticks price graph.
Reindeer Droppings and Chocolate Truffles were the next most expensive candies to spawn, and they lost $40-45k each. Tootsie Rolls also saw over 150,000 added to their circulation graph, and this resulted in a $38k price drop. Finally, Candy Kisses increased by roughly 150,000 units, but they have only lost $15k over the past month. This is partially due to the fact that they are valued $10k lower than Tootsie Rolls, but also because of a small recovery that began last week which added $5k to their value.
As we mentioned earlier, the increase in the availability of these candies has caused some other candy items to fall in price too. However, candy prices tend to pick up towards late spring before surging as we approach the summer, and this is especially true of the Christmas Town candies.
Pictured: Reindeer Droppings annual price graph.
BOOZE
Mistletoe Madness is the fanciest alcoholic beverage handed out at CT, with the higher nerve Christmas Spirit only given away through Duke's dump competitions. Around 180,000 bottles of MM were added into circulation this Christmas, and this meant their price fell from $375k on the 16th of December to $269k by the 26th - a fall of $106k. They've regained around $30k since then, but don't expect much more from these or any alcohol items until February when people start stocking up for St Patrick's Day.
170,000 bottles of Christmas Cocktail were also provided to Christmas Town residents, and this resulted in a $90k loss by December 26th. However, CC has also recovered slightly just as MM did, adding $15k in the two weeks since. Minty Mayhem circulation increased by 164,000 bottles and lost $60k during the same period, and has recovered $12k at the time of writing.
One alcohol item which hasn't recovered well is Kandy Kane, which added 160,000 units to circulation and lost $17k as a result by December 26th - its price on January 8th was virtually identical.
Pictured: Kandy Kane price graph.
The only other individual alcohol items given out during CT were Bottles and Glasses of Beer. There are currently 77 million Bottles of Beer in circulation in Torn City, so the effect of Christmas Town upon its price is precisely f**k all. Glasses of Beer are not a saleable item, so we have no statistics on how their distribution has affected Kegs of Beer.
However, we do have some info on the number of Six Packs of Alcohol which were given out: roughly 5,000. As an individual item, the Six Pack of Booze has fallen in value by around $1m. This Supply Pack item only pays out six types of alcohol, however; Pumpkin Brew, Stinky Swamp Punch, Wicked Witch, Kandy Kane, Minty Mayhem and Mistletoe Madness.
Aside from the alcohol items which were given out individually, none of the alcohols in the Six Pack seem to have been affected by Christmas Town. This is also true of non-CT alcohol items like Sake, Champagne and Tequila, whose valuations have remained steady despite the sudden sharp increase in alcohol products. This is probably because the vast majority of booze given out at Christmas was high-value, meaning the low-end market wasn't affected.
"Alcohol has no reason to drop much and could slowly increase in value up to March." - Iribuya
SUPPLY PACKS
In addition to Six Packs of Alcohol and Energy Drinks, four other Supply Pack items were provided by Christmas Town. Lottery Vouchers were the lowest value Supply Pack provided, but in the context of 1.8m existing vouchers in circulation, their CT spawns had no effect on their circulation graph or market valuation.
Boxes of Medical Supplies were also found in Christmas Town, but nowhere near enough to make an impact - this item has been falling in price since early December. On the other hand, the Boxes of Grenades provided by CT may have had a small effect on their price, although in the context of this item's recent form, the $30k drop in its valuation may not be worth noting - even though we just noted it.
Drug Packs were the only other Supply Item given out, and once more, the impact of their release upon the circulation and valuation graphs appears to be negligible.
BOOSTERS
Lawyer Business Cards were one of four Booster items provided by CT, and while their circulation levels more than doubled thanks to the event, their price doesn't seem to have been affected a great deal. LBC's have been falling since November's peak of $832k anyway, and their decline slowed considerably at the beginning of December. Christmas Town hasn't caused this item to fall in value any faster, but it could have stalled its revival somewhat.
Erotic DVDs also spawned in Christmas Town, but their circulation graph shows that too few were given away to have a noticeable impact. E-DVDs have fallen since early December and now sit at $3.6m. Conversely, while the number of Feathery Hotel Coupons given out didn't affect their circulation graph, it does appear to have dented their price a smidgen.
Pictured: Feathery Hotel Coupon price graph.
FHC's had been on a steady decline since November, but Christmas Town sped things up a little, causing $300k to be wiped from their valuation since it opened. However, the biggest impact has been to the price of Books of Carols, with the 200 given out by Duke dwarfed by the thousands found across CT. Their pre-Christmas value of $27.8m was slashed to $13.1m by the turn of the new decade, although $1m has been recovered in the days since.
Pictured: Book of Carols price graph.
Business Class Tickets aren't classed as a booster, but we'll include them here anyway. Several thousand BCT's were given out by Christmas Town, and while their price was falling during the first two weeks of December, their increased circulation has merely exacerbated the situation. BCT's have fallen from $6.5m on the 16th of December to just over $5m on the 8th of January - the lowest they've been since June 2019.
DUKE'S GIVEAWAY ITEMS
Duke's Dump Giveaway saw a mixture of new and high-value existing items given out over the twelve days up to and including Christmas Day. We've already seen that the price of Books of Carols and FHCs were affected by Christmas Town more than Duke, but his giveaway had a huge impact on the price of several other consumables.
Poison Mistletoe's value fell from $23m to $10m overnight when 2,500 were dumped on the 14th of December. Yet despite excessive amounts of concern coming from some individuals, their value has recovered partially and currently stands at around $19m.
Chirstmas Spirit is another story altogether. 10,000 bottles of the good stuff were put into circulation by Duke, and this caused a massive drop from $9m to $1.5m. Their price has only recovered around $800k since Christmas, and the only way we can see it gaining much more is if something crazy happens around St Patrick's Day.
Pictured: Christmas Spirit valuation graph.
Duke also gave out numerous pieces of new clothing items throughout Christmas, but these were too many and varied to be analysed properly. However, there were three new wearable items that we can analyse, and we shall begin with The Santa Beard. There are 1,000 of these in circulation, and while initially, they were going for as much as $11m a pop, these days they are on offer for a more reasonable $4m - although one suspects you could grab these for next to nothing in the middle of summer.
The two big-ticket items everyone wanted were the Greta Thunberg and Anatoly Dyatov masks. While the Donald Trump and Gronch masks of previous years are currently valued more highly, this is because only 50 of these were ever given out. 250 Greta and Anatoly masks were created this year, and their present valuations of around $175m each compare favourably with the $235-245m asked for Jigsaw or Elon Musk. We expect the price of both Greta and Anatoly masks to increase by roughly $50-60m as collectors snap up the few remaining on the market.
A new candy item was released for Duke's Giveaway too, the Bag of Humbugs, and with 10,000 of these released initially, only 9,300 or so remain uneaten at the time of writing. These candies provide 150 happiness, putting them on a par with Jawbreakers, Pixie Sticks and Bags of Sherbet. Despite this, Humbugs' limited run means they are valued $70k higher, and while they may experience a small rise over the course of 2020, their inevitable return next Christmas could see them fall to become the cheapest 150 happy candy item one day.
The sole Supply Pack item handed out by Duke was the Goodie Bag, with 100 supplied to the good people of Torn. Their value did not fall immediately upon the release of these extra items, but $5m has dropped off their price since the end of December - perhaps due to their recipients' delay in putting them up for sale.
Pictured: Goodie Bag valuation graph.
The final new item provided by Duke was the Christmas Cracker, which either provides two items and a joke if you win or a small happy loss if you lose. Numerous small items such as candies, drugs and weaponry could be found inside these crackers, but since only 10,000 were given out by Duke, and a further 1,500 were provided via the city on Christmas Day and Boxing Day, no impact has been made on the value of the existing items inside.
However, we do have four new paper crown items to value, and the community seems to have priced them at around $1million each. The hat circulation graphs tell us that only about 5,000 crackers have been pulled so far, with 10,300 remaining at present. Each hat has around 1,250 in circulation at the moment, so with a further 2,500 of each hat waiting for us inside those crackers, a pulling spree could see hat prices halve or drop by two thirds.
For no reason whatsoever, Green Hats seem to have the highest average price at $1.3m, followed by Blue at $1.21m, Yellow at $1.16m and Red at $1.09m. Again, as with Humbugs, Christmas Spirit and Poison Mistletoe, it is more than likely these items will return in the order of thousands next Christmas, so their prices are guaranteed to fall year on year.
ULTIMATE RACING TOURNAMENT
While only 36 drivers will take part in the tournament proper, the qualification stages for this year's URT Winter Rally are set to be the biggest ever, and this increased number of participants could have some effect on car prices over the coming month. Look out for further details of the qualification process next week.
AWARENESS AWARENESS WEEK
Last month's Slash Wednesday event didn't seem to have much of an impact on the item market prices of Medical Items, and the same could be true of this month's Awareness Awareness week. Awareness Awareness week takes place from the 19th to the 26th of January, with all citizens benefitting from increased awareness during this period.
As a result, more high-quality items should be found in the city by those who browse the City Map. However, given the broad nature of discoverable items, we don't believe any huge impact on item market prices should be expected.
First, I'd like to remind you all that the Market Report is an easy way for traders to get their name out there, and also earn that elusive Newspaper merit. If you're interested in writing the next Market Report (which will be much shorter than this one!) please contact me, Sugarvalves, at your earliest convenience.
Christmas Town opened fully on the 19th of December and remained so for slightly longer than usual, with its closure delayed until a couple of days into the New Year as compensation for its late arrival. As ever, this event had a major impact on the price of cans, candies, booze, boosters and more, so let's begin our first report of the decade with a look at Torn's cans market.
ENERGY DRINKS
Every type of energy drink was made available through Christmas Town, but not all of them as single items. Each of the three new low-energy cans could be found individually, as could Santa Shooters, Rockstar Rudolph and X-MASS. However, cans of Munster, Red Cow and Taurine Elite could only be found as part of Six Pack of Energy Drinks, along with the other three original can items.
Roughly 4,000 Six Packs of Energy Drinks were given out, and the relative lack of distribution for certain cans obviously had an effect on prices. The two big dawgs, Taurine and X-MASS, were valued around $3.6m on December 17th, and both lost roughly $200k over the next few days. But then a curious thing happened; their prices began to recover almost immediately.
Pictured: X-MASS price graph.
This is by no means a normal occurrence. In 2018, the top two cans also lost about $200k upon the opening of CT, but they took two months to gain half of that back and six months to recover fully! Taurine and X-MASS have restored half of their pre-Christmas value already, and while their gains have flatlined since their miraculous festive rebirth, such a swift bounceback is still rather odd.
One possible explanation for this is that the introduction of three new cans has limited Christmas Town's effects on the market as a whole, spreading the price drop over nine items instead of six. But trader Iribuya has his own theory:
"It was certainly unexpected on my part. My theory on why cans didn't drop much in value is that a lot of players saved up money to buy 'cheap cans' during CT. Too many players did this and bought cans without actually checking if they were cheaper. This caused the price to remain the same and even rise a bit on some cans. It's also possible some people are holding on to their cans to sell later in the year."
The trends for the second-tier cans, Red Cow and Rockstar Rudolph are markedly different. Red Cow started falling in anticipation of CT on the 15th of December, losing about $120k in value. However, Red Cow had regained much of this value by Christmas Eve and enjoyed a good end to the year before falling $60k between January 4th - 7th. Rockstar Rudolph also lost $120k at the same time but had recovered only $36k by January 7th - we attribute this to the single can / multipack discrepancy mentioned earlier.
Santa Shooters and Munster are Torn's third-tier cans, and both took disproportionally larger price hits than the other energy drinks, losing $160k each between the 15th and 26th of December. Santa Shooters have recovered roughly $26k of this so far, whereas Munster was only $1k above its Boxing Day price on January 8th, despite its circulation graph being impacted far less than Santa Shooters.
Pictured: Munster circulation graph (7,275 increase)
Pictured: Santa Shooters circulation graph (136,913 increase)
So why have these two third-tier cans both suffered identical price rises, despite Santa Shooters seeing their circulation increase by nearly 19 times that of Munster? It could have something to do with players using certain cans during Christmas Town, as Iribuya illustrates.
"There was a point where Goose Juice was on the same level as Damp valley, because of all the Pot players needing the cheapest cans to play with."
Players with more cash to spare may have plumped for third-tier cans over the three new micro-energy cans, and since Munster appears before Santa Shooters in the item market listings, players may have assumed it was cheaper, even if it wasn't. This would lead to demand for Munsters being inflated, thus explaining why it experienced a price rise comparable to Santa Shooters.
Finally, the three new low-energy cans all increased in circulation dramatically over Christmas, with Goose Juice adding 140k, Damp Valley 139k and Crocozade 137k. Goose Juice had enjoyed a stable December until CT came along, but after hovering around the $280-290k mark for a couple of weeks, the juice from the goose has lost $45k since then.
Damp Valley had a similar start to December, but while Goose Juice's descent was more gradual, Damp Valley plummetted dramatically, losing $100k in the space of a few days after CT opened. It has recovered around $25k of this at the time of writing.
Pictured: Damp Valley price graph.
Crocozade's descent was equally sharp, as having gained $72k during the first two weeks of December, it lost $187k over Christmas, and has only regained about $10k of this back - it appears to be recovering at a slower rate than GJ or DV.
CANDIES
As is the case with cans, only a limited selection of Torn's candies are given out during Christmas Town, but this still had a knock-on effect on the price of all candies across the board. Your high-end candies dropped the most value, with Pixie Sticks and Jawbreakers falling by $56k and $85k respectively. These two items provide exactly the same amount of happiness, but Jawbreakers began CT on a much higher price and lower circulation level than Pixie Sticks, hence their sharper fall.
Pictured: Jawbreakers price graph.
Pictured: Pixie Sticks price graph.
Reindeer Droppings and Chocolate Truffles were the next most expensive candies to spawn, and they lost $40-45k each. Tootsie Rolls also saw over 150,000 added to their circulation graph, and this resulted in a $38k price drop. Finally, Candy Kisses increased by roughly 150,000 units, but they have only lost $15k over the past month. This is partially due to the fact that they are valued $10k lower than Tootsie Rolls, but also because of a small recovery that began last week which added $5k to their value.
As we mentioned earlier, the increase in the availability of these candies has caused some other candy items to fall in price too. However, candy prices tend to pick up towards late spring before surging as we approach the summer, and this is especially true of the Christmas Town candies.
Pictured: Reindeer Droppings annual price graph.
BOOZE
Mistletoe Madness is the fanciest alcoholic beverage handed out at CT, with the higher nerve Christmas Spirit only given away through Duke's dump competitions. Around 180,000 bottles of MM were added into circulation this Christmas, and this meant their price fell from $375k on the 16th of December to $269k by the 26th - a fall of $106k. They've regained around $30k since then, but don't expect much more from these or any alcohol items until February when people start stocking up for St Patrick's Day.
170,000 bottles of Christmas Cocktail were also provided to Christmas Town residents, and this resulted in a $90k loss by December 26th. However, CC has also recovered slightly just as MM did, adding $15k in the two weeks since. Minty Mayhem circulation increased by 164,000 bottles and lost $60k during the same period, and has recovered $12k at the time of writing.
One alcohol item which hasn't recovered well is Kandy Kane, which added 160,000 units to circulation and lost $17k as a result by December 26th - its price on January 8th was virtually identical.
Pictured: Kandy Kane price graph.
The only other individual alcohol items given out during CT were Bottles and Glasses of Beer. There are currently 77 million Bottles of Beer in circulation in Torn City, so the effect of Christmas Town upon its price is precisely f**k all. Glasses of Beer are not a saleable item, so we have no statistics on how their distribution has affected Kegs of Beer.
However, we do have some info on the number of Six Packs of Alcohol which were given out: roughly 5,000. As an individual item, the Six Pack of Booze has fallen in value by around $1m. This Supply Pack item only pays out six types of alcohol, however; Pumpkin Brew, Stinky Swamp Punch, Wicked Witch, Kandy Kane, Minty Mayhem and Mistletoe Madness.
Aside from the alcohol items which were given out individually, none of the alcohols in the Six Pack seem to have been affected by Christmas Town. This is also true of non-CT alcohol items like Sake, Champagne and Tequila, whose valuations have remained steady despite the sudden sharp increase in alcohol products. This is probably because the vast majority of booze given out at Christmas was high-value, meaning the low-end market wasn't affected.
"Alcohol has no reason to drop much and could slowly increase in value up to March." - Iribuya
SUPPLY PACKS
In addition to Six Packs of Alcohol and Energy Drinks, four other Supply Pack items were provided by Christmas Town. Lottery Vouchers were the lowest value Supply Pack provided, but in the context of 1.8m existing vouchers in circulation, their CT spawns had no effect on their circulation graph or market valuation.
Boxes of Medical Supplies were also found in Christmas Town, but nowhere near enough to make an impact - this item has been falling in price since early December. On the other hand, the Boxes of Grenades provided by CT may have had a small effect on their price, although in the context of this item's recent form, the $30k drop in its valuation may not be worth noting - even though we just noted it.
Drug Packs were the only other Supply Item given out, and once more, the impact of their release upon the circulation and valuation graphs appears to be negligible.
BOOSTERS
Lawyer Business Cards were one of four Booster items provided by CT, and while their circulation levels more than doubled thanks to the event, their price doesn't seem to have been affected a great deal. LBC's have been falling since November's peak of $832k anyway, and their decline slowed considerably at the beginning of December. Christmas Town hasn't caused this item to fall in value any faster, but it could have stalled its revival somewhat.
Erotic DVDs also spawned in Christmas Town, but their circulation graph shows that too few were given away to have a noticeable impact. E-DVDs have fallen since early December and now sit at $3.6m. Conversely, while the number of Feathery Hotel Coupons given out didn't affect their circulation graph, it does appear to have dented their price a smidgen.
Pictured: Feathery Hotel Coupon price graph.
FHC's had been on a steady decline since November, but Christmas Town sped things up a little, causing $300k to be wiped from their valuation since it opened. However, the biggest impact has been to the price of Books of Carols, with the 200 given out by Duke dwarfed by the thousands found across CT. Their pre-Christmas value of $27.8m was slashed to $13.1m by the turn of the new decade, although $1m has been recovered in the days since.
Pictured: Book of Carols price graph.
Business Class Tickets aren't classed as a booster, but we'll include them here anyway. Several thousand BCT's were given out by Christmas Town, and while their price was falling during the first two weeks of December, their increased circulation has merely exacerbated the situation. BCT's have fallen from $6.5m on the 16th of December to just over $5m on the 8th of January - the lowest they've been since June 2019.
DUKE'S GIVEAWAY ITEMS
Duke's Dump Giveaway saw a mixture of new and high-value existing items given out over the twelve days up to and including Christmas Day. We've already seen that the price of Books of Carols and FHCs were affected by Christmas Town more than Duke, but his giveaway had a huge impact on the price of several other consumables.
Poison Mistletoe's value fell from $23m to $10m overnight when 2,500 were dumped on the 14th of December. Yet despite excessive amounts of concern coming from some individuals, their value has recovered partially and currently stands at around $19m.
Chirstmas Spirit is another story altogether. 10,000 bottles of the good stuff were put into circulation by Duke, and this caused a massive drop from $9m to $1.5m. Their price has only recovered around $800k since Christmas, and the only way we can see it gaining much more is if something crazy happens around St Patrick's Day.
Pictured: Christmas Spirit valuation graph.
Duke also gave out numerous pieces of new clothing items throughout Christmas, but these were too many and varied to be analysed properly. However, there were three new wearable items that we can analyse, and we shall begin with The Santa Beard. There are 1,000 of these in circulation, and while initially, they were going for as much as $11m a pop, these days they are on offer for a more reasonable $4m - although one suspects you could grab these for next to nothing in the middle of summer.
The two big-ticket items everyone wanted were the Greta Thunberg and Anatoly Dyatov masks. While the Donald Trump and Gronch masks of previous years are currently valued more highly, this is because only 50 of these were ever given out. 250 Greta and Anatoly masks were created this year, and their present valuations of around $175m each compare favourably with the $235-245m asked for Jigsaw or Elon Musk. We expect the price of both Greta and Anatoly masks to increase by roughly $50-60m as collectors snap up the few remaining on the market.
A new candy item was released for Duke's Giveaway too, the Bag of Humbugs, and with 10,000 of these released initially, only 9,300 or so remain uneaten at the time of writing. These candies provide 150 happiness, putting them on a par with Jawbreakers, Pixie Sticks and Bags of Sherbet. Despite this, Humbugs' limited run means they are valued $70k higher, and while they may experience a small rise over the course of 2020, their inevitable return next Christmas could see them fall to become the cheapest 150 happy candy item one day.
The sole Supply Pack item handed out by Duke was the Goodie Bag, with 100 supplied to the good people of Torn. Their value did not fall immediately upon the release of these extra items, but $5m has dropped off their price since the end of December - perhaps due to their recipients' delay in putting them up for sale.
Pictured: Goodie Bag valuation graph.
The final new item provided by Duke was the Christmas Cracker, which either provides two items and a joke if you win or a small happy loss if you lose. Numerous small items such as candies, drugs and weaponry could be found inside these crackers, but since only 10,000 were given out by Duke, and a further 1,500 were provided via the city on Christmas Day and Boxing Day, no impact has been made on the value of the existing items inside.
However, we do have four new paper crown items to value, and the community seems to have priced them at around $1million each. The hat circulation graphs tell us that only about 5,000 crackers have been pulled so far, with 10,300 remaining at present. Each hat has around 1,250 in circulation at the moment, so with a further 2,500 of each hat waiting for us inside those crackers, a pulling spree could see hat prices halve or drop by two thirds.
For no reason whatsoever, Green Hats seem to have the highest average price at $1.3m, followed by Blue at $1.21m, Yellow at $1.16m and Red at $1.09m. Again, as with Humbugs, Christmas Spirit and Poison Mistletoe, it is more than likely these items will return in the order of thousands next Christmas, so their prices are guaranteed to fall year on year.
ULTIMATE RACING TOURNAMENT
While only 36 drivers will take part in the tournament proper, the qualification stages for this year's URT Winter Rally are set to be the biggest ever, and this increased number of participants could have some effect on car prices over the coming month. Look out for further details of the qualification process next week.
AWARENESS AWARENESS WEEK
Last month's Slash Wednesday event didn't seem to have much of an impact on the item market prices of Medical Items, and the same could be true of this month's Awareness Awareness week. Awareness Awareness week takes place from the 19th to the 26th of January, with all citizens benefitting from increased awareness during this period.
As a result, more high-quality items should be found in the city by those who browse the City Map. However, given the broad nature of discoverable items, we don't believe any huge impact on item market prices should be expected.
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